"Saratoga SUPER PACE KEY HORSE Profit Angles"

  •      Since the year 2003 Full Card Reports has published the "Saratoga SUPER PACE KEY HORSE Angles". They are updated yearly to reflect subtle changes and/or trends over the SPA surface.

    It is geared towards pace angles that show a long term profit at the Saratoga meet year in and year out.

    These are very precise and focused angles.

    Following these angles and strategy has shown a profit for the last 8 seasons at Saratoga.

    Click Here to JUMP Directly to
    the "Saratoga SUPER PACE KEY HORSE Angles"


    SARATOGA TRACK FACTS

    WHAT: Saratoga Race Course’s 143rd season.

    WHEN: 40 days. Friday, July 22 through Monday, September 5, Labor Day. No racing on Tuesdays.

    MAIN TRACK: 1 1/8-mile oval with seven-furlong chute; 4 percent banking on the turns; distance from final turn to the finish line is 1,144 feet.

    The main oval is made up of dirt, clay and sandy loam with a limestone base. That composition makes it one of the fastest tracks in the country.

    TURF COURSES: The Mellon (Outer) Turf Course is a one-mile (plus 98 feet) oval; 4 percent banking on the turns; distance from final turn to the finish line is 1,144 feet.

    The Inner Turf Course is a seven-furlong (plus 304 feet) oval; 4 percent banking on the turns; distance from final turn to finish is 1,164 feet

    GUARANTEED WAGERS: The New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) will offer three different guaranteed wagers during the 2011 Saratoga Meet: a $500,000 Guaranteed Late Pick 4 on Saturdays, a $100,000 Guaranteed Pick 6 on Thursdays, and a $1 Million All-Graded Stakes Late Pick 4 on Travers Day, Saturday, August 28.

    This will be the third consecutive year that NYRA has offered a $500,000 guarantee on the Saturday Late Pick 4, a 50 cent minimum wager in which the bettor must correctly pick the winners of four consecutive races. By guaranteeing the wager, NYRA will supplement the net difference if the total pool is less than $500,000.

    In lieu of the regular Pick 4 guarantee, on Travers Day, Saturday, August 27, NYRA will offer a $1 Million Guaranteed All-Graded Stakes Late Pick 4 featuring the Grade 1 Travers and the Grade 1 King’s Bishop.

    FIRST RACE POST TIME: 1 p.m. Eastern. On Travers Day, Saturday, August 27, first race post is 11:35 a.m. On Party at the Spa, presented by Coors Light, Fridays, July 29 and September 2, first race post time is 2:30 p.m. On Labor Day, Monday, September 5, first post is 12:30 p.m.

    THE TOP TRAINERS on The New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) circuit are based in Saratoga for the meet, including Todd Pletcher, Christophe Clement, Linda Rice, Chad Brown and Hall of Famers Bill Mott, Nick Zito and Allen Jerkens. Saratoga is also the summer home of H. Graham Motion, trainer of Kentucky Derby winner Animal Kingdom; Dale Romans, trainer of Preakness winner Shackleford, and Hall of Famers Bob Baffert, D. Wayne Lukas, and Jonathan Sheppard.

    Heading a sizeable contingent from Kentucky is Al Stall, whose Blame won last year’s Grade 1 Whitney en route to beating Zenyatta in the 2010 Breeders’ Cup Classic. Also coming in from the Bluegrass state are Neil Howard, Ian Wilkes, Steve Margolis, Dallas Stewart, Ronny Werner and Rusty Arnold.

    NEW FACES IN FOR THE MEET include David Fawkes, who opened a string in New York this spring; Charles Lopresti, who shipped in to take last year’s Grade 1 Forego with Here Comes Ben; Donnie Von Hemel, who trains 2011 Grade 2 Peter Pan winner Alternation, and Joan Scott, the Keeneland-based trainer whose Dr. Zic won the 2010 Grade 1 Vinery Madison.





Now on with the
"Saratoga SUPER PACE KEY HORSE Angles"





To get a good mental picture of each race especially using Full Card Reports' Turn Time Ratings (TTR) and Pace Angles see the Saratoga Track Diagram below.



  • PART 1A (for   5 1/2 f  and  6f  sprints) - In races at 5.5f and 6.0f distances look for the horses that have:

    BEST EARLY AND BEST MID PACE ratings icon


    OR


    BEST TURN TIME RATING (TTR)

    AND

    BEST MID PACE figure


    OR


    BEST MID PACE figure

    AND

    HORSE FOR THE COURSE icon


    Note: When using in maiden races containing first time starters keep in mind the early speed of the first timers is unknown.

    If there are a lot of first timers in the race you might want to consider passing the race as far as this angle is concerned.

    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the final pace qualifier.




  • PART 1B (for  6 1/2 f  sprints) - In races at 6.5f distances look for the horses that have:

    BEST EARLY AND BEST MID PACE ratings

    AND

    HORSE FOR THE COURSE icon


    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE rating

    AND

    BEST MID PACE figure


    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE rating

    AND

    BEST TURN TIME RATING (TTR)


    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE rating

    AND

    HORSE FOR THE COURSE icon


    Note: When using in maiden races containing first time starters keep in mind the early speed of the first timers is unknown.

    If there are a lot of first timers in the race you might want to consider passing the race as far as this angle is concerned.

    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the final pace qualifier.




  • PART 1C (for  7f  sprints) - In races at 7.0f distances look for the horses that have:

    BEST TOTAL PACE rating

    AND

    BEST MID PACE figure


    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE rating

    AND

    BEST TURN TIME RATING (TTR)


    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE rating

    AND

    HORSE FOR THE COURSE icon



    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE rating

    AND

    GOOD RECORD AT TODAY'S DISTANCE icon


    Note: When using in maiden races containing first time starters keep in mind the early speed of the first timers is unknown.

    If there are a lot of first timers in the race you might want to consider passing the race as far as this angle is concerned.

    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the final pace qualifier.




    PART 2A (for  1 1/8  miles  dirt routes) - In races of 9.0f distances look for the horse with:

    BEST EARLY AND BEST MID PACE icon

    AND

    HORSE FOR THE COURSE icon


    OR



    BEST TOTAL PACE rating

    AND

    BEST MID PACE figure


    OR



    BEST TOTAL PACE rating

    AND

    HORSE FOR THE COURSE icon


    OR



    BEST MID PACE figure

    AND

    HORSE FOR THE COURSE icon


    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the final pace qualifier.




    PART 2B (for 1 mile on the INNER TURF) - In races of 8.0f distances on the INNER TURF look for the horse with:

    BEST EARLY AND BEST MID PACE ratings icon

    AND

    BEST FINAL TIME RATING ON THE TURF figure.


    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE rating

    AND

    BEST FINAL TIME RATING ON THE TURF figure.


    OR


    BEST MID PACE figure

    AND

    BEST FINAL TIME RATING ON THE TURF figure.


    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the final pace qualifier.




    PART 2C (for  1 1/16  miles on the INNER TURF) - In races of 8.5f distances on the INNER TURF look for the horse with:

    BEST TOTAL PACE figure

    AND

    BEST TURF PEDIGREE ICON


    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE figure

    AND

    BEST FINAL TIME RATING ON THE TURF figure.



    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE figure

    AND

    BEST LATE PACE


    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the final pace qualifier.




    PART 2D (for  1 1/8  miles on the INNER TURF) - In races of 9.0f distances on the INNER TURF look for the horse with:

    BEST TOTAL PACE figure

    AND

    BEST TURF PEDIGREE ICON


    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE figure

    AND

    BEST FINAL TIME RATING ON THE TURF figure.



    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE figure

    AND

    BEST LATE PACE


    Once you find a horse that fits this criteria go on to the final pace qualifier.




    PART 2E (for  1 1/16  miles on the MELLON TURF) - In races of 8.5f distances on the TURF look for the horse with:

    BEST LATE PACE

    AND

    BEST TURF PEDIGREE ICON


    OR


    BEST LATE PACE

    AND

    BEST FINAL TIME RATING ON THE TURF figure.


    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE figure

    AND

    BEST FINAL TIME RATING ON THE TURF figure.


    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the final pace qualifier.




    PART 2F (for  1 1/8  miles on the MELLON TURF) - In races of 9.0f distances on the TURF look for the horse with:

    BEST LATE PACE figure

    AND

    BEST TURF PEDIGREE ICON


    OR


    BEST LATE PACE figure

    AND

    BEST FINAL TIME RATING ON THE TURF figure.


    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE figure

    AND

    BEST FINAL TIME RATING ON THE TURF figure.


    Once you find a horse that fits this criteria go on to the final pace qualifier.




    PART 2G (for LONGER THAN  1 1/8  miles on the MELLON TURF) - In races longer than 9.0f distances on the TURF look for the horse with:

    BEST TOTAL PACE figure

    AND

    BEST TURF PEDIGREE ICON


    OR


    BEST TOTAL PACE figure

    AND

    BEST FINAL TIME RATING ON THE TURF figure.


    OR


    BEST LATE PACE figure

    AND

    BEST FINAL TIME RATING ON THE TURF figure.


    Once you find a horse that fits this criteria go on to the final pace qualifier.




    FINAL PACE QUALIFIER

    If the qualifying horse is
    offered at near post time odds that are:

    HIGHER than
    Our True Odds on The Reports

    AND

    Those near post time odds are
    4-1 or higher

    This makes a
    'SUPER PACE KEY HORSE'!!





    Now that you have your 'SUPER PACE KEY HORSE' qualifier choose your method of wager.

    We suggest the WIN/PLACE BET:




  • WIN/PLACE BET STRATEGY:

    Bet the SUPER PACE KEY HORSE

    6 units to WIN

    and

    8 units to PLACE.

    This is a very conservative approach but very powerful in building your bankroll.

    Depending on your bankroll a UNIT can be $1, $2 or any dollar amount.

    Many or most of you will use the UNIT as $1.




  • EXACTA STRATEGY:

    The horse that qualifies as a SUPER PACE KEY HORSE (We will call him 'Q') can be used with the report's Top Pick on the reports (We will call him 'T').

    Note: In the event that the Top Pick is the SUPER PACE KEY HORSE then T = 2nd Pick on the reports.

    In the exacta key: Q,T with picks 1 though 7 (Group A & Group B) for 2 units.

    ( Q,T / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 )

    In many cases both the Q and T horses will be part of the 7 horses (Group A & B).

    Also BOX the Q / T for 4 units.




  • TRIFECTA STRATEGY:

    The horse that qualifies as a SUPER KEY PACE HORSE (We will call him 'Q') can be used with the report's Top Pick on the reports (We will call him 'T') as follows:

    Note: In the event that the Top Pick is the SUPER PACE KEY HORSE then T = 2nd Pick on the reports.

    In the trifecta part wheel Q,T 1st & 2nd with picks 1 though 7 (Group A & B) for 1 unit or 2 units as follows

    Q,T with Q,T with picks 1,2,3,4,5,6,7

    ( Q,T / Q,T / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 )

    AND

    Q,T with picks 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 with Q,T

    ( Q,T / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 / Q,T )

    In many races both the Q and T horse will be 2 of those 7 horses.





  • SUPERFECTA STRATEGY:

    The horse that qualifies as a SUPER KEY PACE HORSE (We will call him 'Q') can be used with the report's Top Pick on the reports (We will call him 'T') as follows:

    In the superfecta part wheel Q,T 1st & 2nd with picks 1 though 7 and ALL for 4th for 1 unit or 2 units as follows

    Q,T with Q,T with picks 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 with ALL

    ( Q,T / Q,T /1,2,3,4,5,6,7 / ALL)

    AND

    Q,T with picks 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 with Q,T with ALL

    ( Q,T / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 / Q,T / ALL)

    In many races both the Q and T horse will be 2 of those 7 horses.




Always remember the basic money management rule. Never bet more than 1% to 2% of your total bankroll on any one race.

It is suggested that you have a separate bankroll for win bets and another just for exotics.



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SARATOGA TRACK DIAGRAM


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