"2011 Del Mar SUPER POWER KEY HORSE Profit Angles"


  •      Del Mar will offer two new wagers at its upcoming summer race meeting, both featuring reduced takeout percentages as an additional lure to bettors during the 37-day season that kicks off on Wednesday, July 20.

    The new Del Mar bets – a Pick Five and a head-to-head proposition wager – will offer takeouts of 14% (in the case of the Pick Five) and 10% (for the head-to-head). The latter is one of the lowest takeouts of any racetrack wager in the United States.

    The Pick Five, which will be called the “50˘ Players Pick 5,” will be offered under a similar format to the one currently presented by Hollywood Park. The wager will be for each card’s first five events and be available at a minimum 50˘ rate.

    The head-to-head bet will be conducted on each Saturday’s feature race. The two horses involved will be selected by the track’s racing office and the match-up will be publicized in advance in the daily program. The payoff will be based on the pari-mutuel odds established by the betting

    Besides the new wagering options, the seaside track also will offer its usual array of bets. They are:

    • $2 win, place and show

    • $1 exacta

    • $2 quinella

    • $1 trifecta

    • $2 rolling double

    • $1 rolling pick three

    • $1 superfecta (.10˘ minimum)

    • $1 pick four (.50˘ minimum)

    • $1 place pick all

    • $1 super high 5.


    Racing at Del Mar will be presented on a Wednesday-through-Sunday basis through September 7. First post normally will be at 2 p.m. with the exception of Fridays when the races begin at 4 p.m.



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    the "2011 Del Mar SUPER POWER KEY HORSE Profit Angles"


    The synthetic main track at Del Mar is a one-mile oval with two chutes to accommodate various distances. The seven-eights turf course has a chute into the infield that allow grass races up to 9 furlongs to go through two turns. The distance to the wire off the final turn is 919 feet.

    Del Mar To Host Six Breeders' Cup Challenge Races As Part Of 2011 Schedule
      Del Mar will host the following Breeders' Cup Challenge races:

    • July 29, 2011 - Cougar II Handicap (gr. III)
      Marathon

    • July 30, 2011 - San Diego Handicap. (gr. II)
      Dirt Mile

    • August 6, 2011 - Clement L. Hirsch Handicap (gr. I)
      Ladies' Classic

    • August 28, 2011 - Pacific Classic (gr. I)
      Classic

    • August 28, 2011 - Del Mar Handicap (gr. II)
      Turf

    • September 7, 2011 - Del Mar Futurity (gr. I)
      Juvenile




  • To get a good mental picture of each race especially using Full Card Reports' Turn Time Ratings (TTR) and Pace Angles see the Del Mar Track Diagram below.


    Also see the Del Mar Polytrack Info below.





    Now on with the
    "2011 Del Mar SUPER POWER KEY HORSE Profit Angles"





  • Del Mar Final Time All-Weather Track/Turf Power Angle

    On all-weather tracks (Polytrack, Tapeta, Cushion Track, Pro Ride, etc) look for horses that have the BEST FINAL TIME RATING OF THIS FIELD ON ALL WEATHER TRACKS ICON and are going off at 8-1 odds or higher.

    In races run on the turf look for horses that have the BEST FINAL TIME ON THE TURF ICON and are going off at 8-1 or higher.

    There can only be 1 horse per race with this icon (at rare times 2 can be tied for best because we have a highest ML odds tie-breaker). If the horse also has some additional profit icon(s) it's a big plus.

    The horse with this designation has already proven to be able to run a better final time speed rating on an all-weather surface or turf (in turf races) than the rest of the horses in the race. This is extremely important because not every horse runs its best on the synthetic surfaces.

    You can get good overlay winners with this angle because often the race that gives this horse the top final time rating was a few races ago and the betting public is only most interested in what a horse did in its most recent start.

    While the most recent race is important it does not usually, completely and accurately display the absolute overall true talent of each racehorse in the current timeframe.

    Thoroughbreds are not machines nor are they computers. They do not always run a bad race nor do they always run a good race. There are exceptions to the every rule however but for the most part every horse runs in cycles of highs and lows and goes through the time spent getting to each high and low.

    Depending a lot on the trainer's intentions and techniques, horses can round into a high level its form cycle gradually or quickly. The trick is to look at each horse as a different entity and what it has done in its past 3 to 5 races.


    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the FINAL POWER QUALIFIER.




  • Del Mar Turn Time Rating Power Angle

    Look for horses that have the highest Turn Time Rating (TTR) and are going off at 8-1 or higher. Ties count.

    This rating is located in between the owner's name and the horse's last few race finish positions. We introduced this rating in 2008 and it has proven to be very effective.

    Turn Time Rating takes into account the speed at which a horse makes the final turn before straightening up for the stretch run. The horse with the top rating can appear anywhere in the selection order.

    Take note if the horse with the highest TTR in the race also has the highest rating for either early, mid or late pace. This is a very positive bonus. Especially mid pace!

    Watch for a top TTR horse who shows another of these 36 angles but really nothing else. Often the high TTR plus the extra angle equals a big overlay win.


    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the FINAL POWER QUALIFIER.




  • Del Mar Total Pace Rating Power Angle

    Look for a horse that has the TOTAL PACE ADVANTAGE ICON and is going off at 8-1 odds or higher.

    There can only be 1 horse per race to have this icon and some races won't have any (because of a tie). Once again this simple angle will really surprise you how well it works.

    When there is a tie for the highest total pace rating the icon is not generated however the top ratings are still underlined. You might want to consider this if one of them is going off at 8-1 or higher.

    This rating takes into account the middle and late stages of the race. Usually the horse with the highest total pace will be an automatic contender in most races. Ties count.

    If you see a horse that qualifies for this angle and AND also has the LATE PACE ADVANTAGE ICON and/or EARLY/MID PACE ADVANTAGE ICON it becomes a super fantastic mini mega angle!

    Also take note of horses who do not have the aforementioned pace icons but are a top rating (remember: it is underlined) in the categories of Early Pace (ER PA), Mid Pace (MD PA), Late Pace (LT PA), or the highest Turn Time Rating (TTR) of the field.

    This angle does very well in turf races as well as synthetic track surfaces.


    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the FINAL POWER QUALIFIER.




  • Del Mar All-Weather Track Pedigree Power Angle

    The following angle can be very strong in maiden races, especially for first time starters and if it's the only horse in the race it's fantastic.

    Actually this angle can be used in any race as long as the horse is the only horse in the race to have this icon.

    Horses that are the only one in the race to have the or EXCELLENT PEDIGREE FOR ALL-WEATHER TRACKS ICONS make strong angle plays.

    The one with the plus sign is a little stronger. Look for these going postward at 8-1 or higher near post time.


    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the FINAL POWER QUALIFIER.




  • Del Mar Late Pace Power Angle

    Look for a horse that has the LATE PACE ADVANTAGE ICON and is going off at 8-1 odds or higher.

    There can only be 1 horse per race to have this icon and some races won't have any (because of a tie). Once again this simple angle will really surprise you how well it works.

    When there is a tie for the highest late pace rating the icon is not generated however the top ratings are still underlined. You might want to consider this if one of them is going off at 8-1 or higher.

    If one of those tied horses is going off at 8-1 or higher it can be considered an angle play if it's an overlay compared to true odds.

    This angle works on all surfaces (turf, dirt, all-weather tracks) and at all distances (sprints, middle routes, long routes).

    This angle is especially EXTREMELY important in turf races in both sprint and route distances. Even races as short as 5 furlongs as long as it is a turf race.

    Sometimes you will see qualifying horses ranked low in power rating. Just make sure you are getting good/strong overlay on this horse.

    If a qualifying horse has at least a 5 point advantage in the late pace over the horse with the second highest rating it is definitely significant.


    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the FINAL POWER QUALIFIER.




  • Del Mar Hot Power Angle

    Jockeys and trainers get hot and cold. There are dozens of reasons why but do we really need to think too much on this issue?

    It's obvious a trainer cannot keep his entire barn winning all the time however he can certainly have them all fit & ready, placed right and injury free for a period of time.

    The trick is to jump on this money train while it's still running. This brings us to this next super angle. Look for a horse who has:

    A)   HOT JOCKEY ICON or

    B)   HOT TRAINER ICON and

    is going off at 8-1 odds or higher.

    If this horse also has any other somewhat related icon like the JOCKEY SWITCH TO A HOT JOCKEY ICON or any other significant icon, it makes the play even more live.

    Don't be afraid to play a horse with a hot jockey or trainer if the particular horse has not shown much positive lately. The human intentions sometimes override the basic handicapping set of rules.

    This angle becomes a stronger play if only one horse in the race has one of these HOT icons.

    Also a hot trainer who has the OVERLAY TRAINER ICON is worth noting.

    And a hot jockey who has the OVERLAY JOCKEY ICON is definitely worth noting.

    There is a high impact value on HOT TRAINERS in maiden races so watch closely for that. Usually a maiden can make a huge improvement and it makes sense if a hot trainer has his or her whole barn on a carefully planned "up cycle".

    Another high impact value is when a horse has both the HOT JOCKEY ICON and the HOT TRAINER ICON. Even though this would seem obvious sometimes the best gold nuggets of information are overlooked by the majority of the betting public.

    Another thing to look for is when a hot trainer has an entry and scratches one of them. As long as you get 8-1 odds or higher you will be backing the confidence of a trainer who is make all the right decisions lately.

    A HOT JOCKEY horse who also has a SUCCESSFUL TRAINER PATTERN ICON is another strong combination to keep an eye out for.


    Once you find a horse that fits one of these criteria go on to the FINAL POWER QUALIFIER.




Final Del Mar Super Power Profit Angles Qualifier

If the qualifying horse is
offered at near post time odds that are:

HIGHER than Our True Odds on The Reports

AND

Those near post time odds are 4-1 or higher

This makes a 2011 Del Mar SUPER POWER KEY HORSE Profit Angles!!





Now that you have your '2011 Del Mar SUPER POWER KEY HORSE Profit Angles' qualifier choose your method of wager.

We suggest the WIN/PLACE BET:




  • WIN/PLACE BET STRATEGY:

    Bet the DEL MAR SUPER POWER KEY HORSE

    4 units to WIN

    and

    6 units to PLACE.

    This is a very conservative approach but very powerful in building your bankroll.

    Depending on your bankroll a UNIT can be $1, $2 or any dollar amount.

    Many or most of you will use the UNIT as $1.




  • EXACTA STRATEGY:

    The horse that qualifies as a DEL MAR SUPER POWER KEY HORSE (We will call him 'Q') can be used with the report's Top Pick on the reports (We will call him 'T').

    Note: In the event that the Top Pick is the DEL MAR SUPER POWER KEY HORSE then T = 2nd Pick on the reports.

    In the exacta key: Q,T with picks 1 though 7 (Group A & Group B) for 2 units.

    ( Q,T / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 )

    In many cases both the Q and T horses will be part of the 7 horses (Group A & B).

    Also BOX the Q / T for 4 units.




  • TRIFECTA STRATEGY:

    The horse that qualifies as a DEL MAR SUPER POWER KEY HORSE (We will call him 'Q') can be used with the report's Top Pick on the reports (We will call him 'T') as follows:

    Note: In the event that the Top Pick is the DEL MAR SUPER POWER KEY HORSE then T = 2nd Pick on the reports.

    In the trifecta part wheel Q,T 1st & 2nd with picks 1 though 7 (Group A & B) for 1 unit or 2 units as follows

    Q,T with Q,T with picks 1,2,3,4,5,6,7

    ( Q,T / Q,T / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 )

    AND

    Q,T with picks 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 with Q,T

    ( Q,T / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 / Q,T )

    In many races both the Q and T horse will be 2 of those 7 horses.





  • SUPERFECTA STRATEGY:

    The horse that qualifies as a DEL MAR SUPER POWER KEY HORSE (We will call him 'Q') can be used with the report's Top Pick on the reports (We will call him 'T') as follows:

    In the superfecta part wheel Q,T 1st & 2nd with picks 1 though 7 and ALL for 4th for 1 unit or 2 units as follows

    Q,T with Q,T with picks 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 with ALL

    ( Q,T / Q,T /1,2,3,4,5,6,7 / ALL)

    AND

    Q,T with picks 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 with Q,T with ALL

    ( Q,T / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 / Q,T / ALL)

    In many races both the Q and T horse will be 2 of those 7 horses.




Always remember the basic money management rule. Never bet more than 1% to 2% of your total bankroll on any one race.

It is suggested that you have a separate bankroll for win bets and another just for exotics.





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Dirt Track: 1 mile

Backstetch chute: 7f

Distance from last turn to finish line: 919 feet.


DEL MAR TRACK DIAGRAM




The horse with the highest TTR in any given race should be given a long look.
Especially if near post time odds are generous.

In viewing the following diagram of a basic 1 mile track the
TURN TIME PACE RATING measures how fast a horse ran from "E" to "A".


POLYTRACK DIAGRAM

POLYTRACK DIAGRAM


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